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Case studies  /  FMCG product launch
FMCG · Product & pricing research

When "too cheap" hurts: validating a new rose-based liqueur

A new premium FMCG product priced below what people expected — which sounds like good news. Across 300 True Twins™, it turned out to be the central risk: nearly everyone thought it should cost more, yet the gap between its premium look and its accessible price made over half the audience suspicious. The study found the positioning that turns that doubt into trust.

300 validated True Twins™ 9 research themes Serbia · 4 regions Feb–Mar 2026
Product
A new premium rose-based liqueur, ahead of market launch
Question
How is the product perceived — on price, quality, occasion — and how should it be positioned?
Approach
300 in-depth True Twin™ interviews across 4 regions; qualitative + quantitative, coded sentiment
Outcome
An "accessible premium" go-to-market story, a gift-first position, and the barrier to fix first
// The challenge

Position a new product before it reaches the shelf

A new premium rose-based liqueur was ready for market, but its positioning wasn't settled. The brand needed to understand how consumers actually perceive it — on price, quality, and occasion — and decide how to take it to market. Getting the price story or the core occasion wrong at launch is expensive to correct once the product is on shelves and in customers' minds.

What we needed to learn
01How the product is perceived on price, quality and authenticity
02The occasion it owns — and who it's really for
03The positioning and the barriers to fix before launch, not after
// The findings

The headline isn't the price — it's the reaction to it.

94.7%
expected the product to cost more than its actual price
96.7%
see it primarily as a gift — and 91.3% would choose it over wine to give
53%
don't know what to serve it with — the single biggest barrier to repeat purchase
// The paradox

The price-quality paradox: priced to win, perceived to doubt

Conventional wisdom says a product that feels more expensive than it is should fly off the shelf. Here, the same affordability that should have sealed the deal created hesitation — a premium-looking bottle at an accessible price made people ask "where's the catch?" The good-news number and the risk number are the same number, seen from two sides.

94.7%
The upside

thought the product was more expensive than it is. The price is a positive surprise — there's clear room above the current price point, and no resistance to paying it.

52.7%
The catch

are suspicious of the "accessible price + premium look" combination — wondering what's wrong with it. Cheap-for-what-it-looks-like reads as a red flag, not a bargain.

„Kad vidim da nešto izgleda preskupo, a cena je pristupačna, odmah se pitam gde je kvaka. Ali možda je to prosto prilika da se nađe dobra stvar za normalne pare.“In English: "When I see something that looks expensive but the price is affordable, I immediately wonder where the catch is. But maybe it's simply a chance to find a good thing for normal money."— Female, 50, urban, South & East Serbia · the paradox in one voice

The resolution the data points to: an "accessible premium" narrative. 43% are already on the fence — convertible with the right message. Transparency about origin and the production process is what turns "where's the catch" into "what a find."

// Key insights

What the study told the brand to do

This is a gift, first and foremost — build the whole position around it

96.7% see the product primarily as a gift, and 91.3% would choose it over wine to give. The occasion is built in — housewarmings, name-day celebrations, birthdays, anniversaries. For gifting, the bottle's aesthetics are decisive (69.7% name them as the key value), while only 18% prioritize the contents — and people switch frames depending on whether it's a gift or for themselves.

„Za poklon nekoj ženi, prelomila bi estetika. Vino je proverena varijanta, ali ovo je... uzbudljivo. Volim da osvežim stvari.“In English: "As a gift for a woman, the aesthetics would decide it. Wine is the safe option, but this is... exciting. I like to refresh things."— Female, 50, urban, South & East Serbia · the gift-over-wine instinct

The biggest barrier is mundane — and entirely fixable

The #1 thing stopping purchase isn't price or taste — it's that 53% don't know what to serve it with. That's not a product flaw, it's an education gap. Serving suggestions, food pairings and recipes on the packaging and in digital channels remove the single largest obstacle to moving from curiosity to repeat purchase.

Doesn't know what to serve with53%
Other21%
Doubts ingredient quality12%
Price vs. quality spirits9.7%

Domestic authenticity is a premium asset — lead with origin, not just minimalism

92.7% perceive the product as domestic and authentic — a strong foundation for a national-premium identity. But 63.3% doubt its artisanal (vs. industrial) origin. The two findings combine into one instruction: communicate the Serbian rose, its place of origin, and the production process. Telling the origin story is what converts authentic perception into trusted quality — and answers the "where's the catch" doubt at the same time.

Turn one-time curiosity into a loyal base

56% would buy once out of curiosity; 42% see it becoming a regular stock item. That 42% is a real loyalty opportunity — but it needs targeted communication and a rewards program to convert from "tried it" to "keeps it." Curiosity gets the first purchase; the serving education and origin story earn the second.

// The impact

A go-to-market story, not just a perception score

The brand came away with a coherent launch playbook: position the product as a gift (targeting celebration seasons and corporate gifting), resolve the price paradox with an "accessible premium" narrative built on transparent origin and process, remove the serving-knowledge barrier with pairings and recipes, and convert the 42% loyalty pool with a rewards program. The most counterintuitive risk — that an attractive price would breed suspicion rather than demand — was caught before launch, with the message to neutralize it already written.

1
clear positioning ("accessible premium," gift-first) where there had been an open question
9
research themes turned into a prioritized action list
300
in-depth interviews behind every recommendation
The price was a pleasant surprise — and the audience's first instinct was to distrust it. A number alone would have called that a win. The why turned it into a strategy.
Atani research synthesis, FMCG product validation
// How we did it

300 in-depth interviews — at the speed a launch timeline allows

Atani True Twins™ are individual AI models, each built from a real, recruited respondent. For validating a new FMCG product before launch, that meant qualitative depth at quantitative scale, fast — and the ability to test positioning before anything went to print.

Scale

Depth and scale together

300 in-depth interviews coded for sentiment — the kind of qualitative richness that usually means a handful of focus groups, delivered at survey scale and survey speed.

Real data

Grounded in real consumers

Every twin traces back to a real recruited Serbian respondent, so reactions to price, packaging and occasion reflect the actual market — including its skepticism.

Depth

The why behind the number

Coded open-ended answers explained why an attractive price bred suspicion — the insight a "94.7% would pay more" stat alone would have completely hidden.

Pre-launch

Test positioning before print

Pricing, packaging emphasis and gift framing could be probed pre-launch, when changing them still costs nothing.

The instrument

We ran 300 in-depth True Twin™ interviews across Serbia's four regions — Belgrade, Vojvodina, Šumadija & West, and South & East — spanning gender, age, education and settlement type. The instrument covered nine themes: spontaneous associations, personal relevance, price reaction, what the product offers (aesthetics vs. substance), trust in artisanal quality, the gift market, purchase frequency, brand perception, and barriers to purchase.

The analysis

Responses combined quantitative scales with open-ended questions, and open answers were coded for sentiment and theme using language comprehension rather than keyword counting. Every verbatim quote was validated against its source response before inclusion.

Scope & limitations

This is a pre-launch product diagnostic on a validated panel, not a probability sample of the national population — read the percentages as strong directional signal on perception and positioning, not as official population estimates. Stated purchase intent and "would pay more" measure attitude, not till-receipt behavior. The sample skews urban and female, which matches the product's likely core audience but should be weighed when generalizing.

0.40MAE on a 1–5 scale — under half a point of error
r=0.91Structural similarity to real personality profiles
100+Psychometric & behavioral dimensions per twin
// Validate before you launch

Pressure-test a new product on a validated audience in hours.

Put price, packaging, occasion and positioning in front of hundreds of recruited True Twins™ before launch — and get the reasons behind the numbers, not just the numbers. Book a 20-minute demo and we'll walk you through a real study from brief to report.

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We hold no identity data. Our AI twins are built from anonymised interviews conducted by an independent research agency, processed under strict data separation, and governed by a Code of Ethics that covers every client, every use case, and every prompt. GDPR-compliant by design.